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MH370: Move the Search North

This petition had 159 supporters

We have only two tangible pieces of information from MH370: 1) seven pings, five of which give us a fairly good idea of how far from the 3-F1 satellite the plane was at each ping; and 2) a flaperon that washed up on Reunion Island in July 2015.

The seven pings exchanged between MH370 and the 3-F1 satellite have been used to create a "satellite onion". The plane is believed to have crashed onto the surface of the Indian Ocean when the seventh ping was sent, or shortly after that. It is believed the plane exhausted its fuel after 7 and a half hours of flight, and simply fell out of the sky; but there is disagreement about how it hit the surface. A hard landing suggests numerous fragments, many of which would float. A soft landing suggests a plane that may still be largely intact, and now resting on the seafloor.

The flaperon is the only additional piece of information we have, and it has sparked a storm of "expert" crosscurrents. Those who believe the plane flew all the way to the far southern Indian Ocean where the search has been centered for almost two years, claim the flaperon drifted to Reunion from that remote search area.

But others, including NOAA and Geomar, have spent decades developing models of drift patterns in the Indian Ocean, and both predict the flaperon actually originated just south of Java Island, Indonesia, more than 3,000 kilometers north of the current search area.

At least 3 decades of NOAA research in the southern Indian Ocean (south of Borneo) has amassed compelling evidence the flaperon drifted to Reunion Island from the Java area. There are no other known surface currents that could have carried that flaperon to Reunion Island.

And the most recent NOAA findings, published in a two-part series titled "Characteristics of the Near-Surface Currents in the Indian Ocean ...." was published in 2014. It makes fundamental changes to our understanding of Indian Ocean currents, and makes most graphics on the subject incorrect and obsolete.

In addition, Geomar has also conducted its own "reverse drift" analysis of the currents that flow toward Reunion Island, and it has come to the same conclusion: the flaperon drifted to the Island from the northeast, NOT from the southeast. It is an enormous difference, as the graphic shown here illustrates.

This petition simply seeks to ask the Australian government to turn its search vessels toward Java Island while there is still money in the search budget. The area the search has been conducted in so far has been shown beyond reasonable doubt to be free of anything remotely resembling Boeing 777 components.

It is understood that Australia is struggling with budget issues, as are many other governments in the region. But it is believed that a search of the northern area where no search has ever been conducted would be fruitful, and could be completed within 90 days or less.

By signing this petition, we individually and collectively urge Australian Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull and his counterparts in China and Malaysia to direct Fugro vessels to immediately begin scanning the northern portion of the 7th Arc, south of Java in Wharton Basin, before funds are exhausted.


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