Help us change Sweden's strategy against COVID-19

Help us change Sweden's strategy against COVID-19

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Ornella G. started this petition to Swedish government and

HELP US IN CONVINCING THE SWEDISH GOVERNMENT TO CHANGE THEIR COVID-19 STRATEGY NOW!

### In Swedish below###

We ask the Swedish Government to take stricter measures to tackle the Covid-19 emergency in Sweden.

Unlike all other countries in Europe, the Swedish Government, under the counselling of Folkhälsomyndigheten, has decided to employ a very moderate and relaxed strategy to tackle the sanitary emergency of Covid-19 (the deasese caused by the novel Coronavirus). Similarly to the former British strategy, the Swedish Government would like to slowly achieve herd immunity.

(check this interview to Anders Tegnell defending his strategy and affirming that it's working well despite more than 800 victims Interview)

Herd immunity is a strategy that works very well when a vaccine is available and when it has been proved that the disease cannot be contracted a second time after recovery. In the specific case of Covid-19, such a vaccine is not yet available to protect the high-risk groups and it has not been proved yet that the disease cannot be contracted twice.

Thus herd immunity is very risky.

On top of that, it requires that a large portion of inhabitants of a country gets infected: for example, if 60% of people of a country with 10 million inhabitants (similar to Sweden) gets the virus and if the mortality rate is 1% (which is what has been estimated), it means that 1%*60%*10,000,000 people would die.

Herd immunity implies that 60,000 people would die in a country as big as Sweden. 

The government is well aware of the risks of the chosen strategy (dn_article) and instead of acting in a precocious way that would potentially save lives, they have decided on low interventions for the sake of the economy. We are also being optimistic about the 1% mortality rate because this is the rate that we have when the hospitals still have the means to cure the patients with stronger symptoms. 

To convince the British government to change strategy and not pursue with herd immunity, the Imperial College has published a report that compares all the possible strategies and the associated risks on the population: https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/sph/ide/gida-fellowships/Imperial-College-COVID19-NPI-modelling-16-03-2020.pdf

As a result of this report, the UK has drastically changed the strategy and has started to apply much stricter measures, such as closing schools, playgrounds, pubs and restaurants and to impose social distancing.

The Imperial College has created a model trying to predict the outcome in Sweden assuming the low intervention strategy chosen by FHM and the Government: imperial_college_sweden

The strategy chosen in Sweden has already failed in protecting the most vulnerable: multiple elderly homes in Sweden and especially in Stockholm have been infected by Covid-19, as a result of lack of guidelines regarding protecting equipment for the workers and of the underestimate of asymptomatic spread.

https://www.svt.se/nyheter/inrikes/ny-rapport-till-regeringen-smitta-inom-aldreomsorgen-i-15-av-21-lan

https://www.svt.se/nyheter/inrikes/over-400-smittade-av-covid-19-pa-aldreboenden-i-stockholms-lan

https://www.livescience.com/coronavirus-asymptomatic-spread.html

nature_masks

The Swedish Government says that they follow the suggestions of the experts: in reality, many other Swedish experts have shown strong worries regarding the chosen strategy, as you can read here https://sverigesradio.se/sida/artikel.aspx?programid=2054&artikel=7428645. Five eminent Professors from Karolinska Institutet and one from Chalmers och Göteborgs Universitet have initiated a petition for researchers in Swedish Universities and Swedish researchers living abroad, more than 2000 researchers have signed by March 25th (https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLSf33TUrewe9i2i-jfsgS6HORdB2aI8g6K1Kj2Gt1-H4r_AUTw/viewform). Moreover, the FHM does not change the guidelines regarding the asymptomatic spread and the benefits of using protective equipment, such as masks.

Other interesting reads about the risks of the various strategies to tackle this medical emergency:

Independent

https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(20)30686-3/fulltext

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/mar/23/swedish-pm-warned-russian-roulette-covid-19-strategy-herd-immunity

 

### in Swedish ###

HJÄLP OSS ÖVERYGA DEN SVENSKA REGERINGEN ATT ÄNDRA SIN STRATEGI MOT COVID-19 NU!

Vi villatt den svenska regeringen ska ta hårdare tag mot COVID-19 i Sverige

Den svenska regeringen har i motsats till andra europeiska länder, under ledning av Anders Tegnell, bestämt att hantera hälsokrisen COVID-19 med en snarare avslappnad strategi och attityd. Likt den strategi som Storbritannien tidigare antagit, vill den svenska regeringen uppnå flockimmunutet.

Flockimmunitet är en strategi som fungerar mycket väl när vaccin finns till handa och när det finns bevisat att sjukdomen inte kan smitta en andra gång. I detta specifika fall med COVID-19 finns det ännu inget vaccin för att skydda mot högriskgrupper och det finns heller inget bevis på att man inte kan smittas en andra gång.

Därför är flockimmunitet en hög risk regeringen tar.

Dessutom kräver flockimmunitet att en mycket stor andel av befolkningen smittas, exempel: om 60% av en bfolkning på 10 miljoner invånare (så som Sverige) smittas, och om dödligheten ligger på 1% (vilket är uppskattat), betyder det att 1%*60%*10,000,000 människor skulle mista livet, alltså 60,000 människor skulle mista livet i ett land jämförbart med Sverige.

En uppskattning om 1% i dödlighet är ett positivt nummer i detta sammanhang, eftersom det är den mängd människor som sjukhusen har möjlighet att ta emot och behandla.

Vi får inte glöma att viruset även sprids fort via asymptomatiska människor, alltså människor utan symptom - det är inte rätt och tillräckligt att uppmuntra endast de som har symptom att stanna hemma.

0 have signed. Let’s get to 7,500!
At 7,500 signatures, this petition is more likely to get a reaction from the decision maker!