https://declassifiedaus.org/2023/03/09/majority-oppose-u-s-war-on-china/?s=03

Support for a US war with China low

This report tables the Lowy poll findings in 2024- with improved diplomacy it will be interesting to see the results this year. Clearly WAR IS NOT THE ANSWER

AN INDEPENDENT FOREIGN POLICY IS WHAT WE NEED TO SAY NO TO US WARS

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The earlier poll conducted in 2020 found 63% of Australians do not support Australian military joining US military action in a conflict between China and Taiwan. The opposition to US military action against China has increased [archived here] by 9% from 2019, when 54% were against such military action. 

Since that remarkable result, Lowy Institute changed the polling question slightly in 2021 and 2022, but despite that they still found that most Australians want the country to remain neutral in any US military conflict with China over Taiwan.

Elsewhere the report asked a separate different question about if China ‘invaded Taiwan’. This saw Australian opposition to sending military forces that was at a majority of 54% in 2019, dropping to 47% in 2022. This near repetition of an earlier question in the same poll may seem odd, but it may be a case of asking varying versions of a question until finding the ‘right’ answer.

The Lowy pollsters seem to talk down the notable result on neutrality when they state: ‘A bare majority say Australia should remain neutral… almost half say Australia should support the US in this conflict.’ The last time I looked, a majority is still a majority in most democracies.