The Arch Mission Foundation

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    Started 1 petition

    Petitioning Donald J. Trump

    Stop the Virus! National Stay-At-Home Week: Starting March 15, 2020

    I AM CALLING FOR A NATIONAL STAY-AT-HOME WEEK, IN THE USA - STARTING NEXT WEEK, ON MARCH 15, 2020 - SHARE THIS! In the next few weeks you will experience a life changing global event. The Novel Coronavirus (NCV) is growing, and it behaves very much like a tsunami. But there is a way to contain it and stop it - or at least reduce the spread by up to 10 times -- if we act NOW! To do this, we need to attack the virus in a decentralized manner -- the way it attacks us. The solution is for everyone to stay at home for at least a week - or better yet several weeks if you can. PLEASE SHARE THIS! IT CAN SAVE LIVES!!! More info about this is below... ------------------------------------------------------------ THE TSUNAMI EFFECT The Novel Coronavirus (NCV) is growing, and it behaves very much like a tsunami. Tsunamis can be a bit deceptive at first. They don't always appear to be a huge oncoming wave, because much of the wave is below the surface. In a tsunami, the flood water starts to come in, but at first it may not seem so serious to those who are not at the outer edge of the impact zone. Those at the shoreline see the wave, and may be alarmed, but those inland can't see it -- they just see water coming in - and at first it's not very deep. But then then the water keeps coming in -- more and more and more of it -- and it keeps rising. By the time people who are farther inland realize they are being flooded, it is already too late to escape. Similarly with NCV, the virus incubates slowly - for up to many weeks - and for most people who get it, at first it is asymptomatic. Meanwhile although it may not be visible in your community yet, it infects silently under the radar, even via people who don't show symptoms. Then, a few weeks later, the infections start to manifest, and then they double every 5 to 6 days. Next the hospitalizations and deaths start to rise alarmingly fast and local hospitals and medical staff are overwhelmed. It's very similar to a tsunami -- and when you realize this, you can apply tactics that work for protecting people from tsunamis, to your own survival. Most importantly - when the tsunami warning is sounded, seek higher ground immediately -- don't hesitate! Don't wait for proof that the waters are rising all around you -- by then it's too late. Seek safety before you think or see that you need to!   NORMALCY BIAS VS. EXPONENTIAL GROWTH NCV grows exponentially. It’s not a linear growth curve. But this makes it hard for us to think about it in our normal linear terms. Humans are not good at conceiving of exponential growth curves because most things in our daily lives are linear - we have a hard time recognizing and believing we are in an exponential event when it starts. This causes hesitation. The culprit is something called "normalcy bias" -- and you can read about it here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Normalcy_bias Normalcy bias causes us to think that unusual (non-normal) events cannot happen. But although they are unlikely they CAN happen, and when they do happen, you have to act! An exponential curve it starts out seeming almost linear, but then there comes a time - the “knee of the curve” - where it start to curve upwards, after which it soon seems to really inflect and shoot almost straight up. Now - three months after China - the western world is entering the knee of the NCV curve. And in this moment, we will all feel caught for a moment, between our ordinary lives of last week, and the way life is about to change. Like deer in the headlights of the virus - we feel sort of frozen - not sure which way to bolt - towards the light or away from it, or whether to just stop wherever we are? In the knee of the curve we really struggle with normalcy bias. ACT NOW! If you recognize you are in the knee of an exponential curve - and it’s not a curve you want to be in - you need take rapid evasive action: Jump away from the light, get out of the road! Move fast! By the time you recognize the knee, there is very little time left to avoid the inflection. It took about three weeks to enter the knee in major US cities - approximately three doubling cycles. Now we are in the knee. And in two weeks we will be past the knee, and into the inflection phase of the outbreak. At that time the virus will start to be arising to levels that overwhelm all local hospitals, and we will all be staying home. ACTING TWO WEEKS FASTER = UP TO 10X FEWER INFECTIONS I hope this scares you at least enough to make you start social distancing, but not enough to cause you to panic. Panic will increase your risk, so don’t do it. Instead - start to social distance and if possible self-isolate - just stay home for a while. A recent study found that moving to isolate people two weeks faster can make up to a 7X to 10X difference in the number of infections. What you do this week and next week will make a significant - maybe even 10X - difference, not only in your own chances of not getting infected, but also for everyone else’s chances too. I'M CALLING FOR A NATIONAL STAY-AT-HOME WEEK If we can all start staying home for at least all of next week - starting now or as soon as you can - we can dramatically reduce risks of infections and all have a higher chance of staying healthy ourselves. In fact, if enough people do this together, for a few weeks, we could even collectively contain and stop the spread together, in a decentralized manner. But regardless of what others decide, don’t wait for everyone else - start with yourself, your loved ones, your colleagues and partners, teams, and customers. If you and your family can self-isolate for a while - starting as soon as possible - you can get through this. Cuddle up with a huge stack of books, your favorite person and/or pet(s), and many seasons of Netflix shows to binge watch. Make sure you have a Venmo account and learn to use Taskrabbit. HOW LONG WILL IT TAKE? You may need to stay home for a week or more. Maybe even several weeks. Plan accordingly. Yes it’s going to be difficult. But it’s doable, and it's much better than the alternative. A SILVER LINING This is a challenge - but it has a silver lining - we will all get some time to really think about what matters, and what we would like the world to be like when this is over. Maybe when the virus passes and ordinary life resumes, we will all be more motivated to make the world better. Communities will also rise to help one another during this crisis. We will all get through this. We will form new and better social and community bonds. Life finds a way. TELL EVERYONE HOW MUCH YOU APPRECIATE THEM Meanwhile Keep your loved ones close, and keep them at home! Don't miss the chance to tell those you appreciate, how much you appreciate them. Spread positive intentions and pitch in to help those in need however you can. By self-isolating as soon as possible, you will really make a difference for yourself and others. Spread the word, it will save lives! Good luck and stay safe! Sincerely, Nova SpivackEditor, Germinfo www.germinfo.org   NOTES AND SEE ALSO: Join our Community for the Latest Coronavirus Health Tips!www.facebook.com/groups/germinfo Read how to do what I recommend, here:www.germinfo.com/survivalwww.germinfo.com/health Latest News:www.germinfo.com Details on the data science for taking action now:https://medium.com/@tomaspueyo/coronavirus-act-today-or-people-will-die-f4d3d9cd99ca?fbclid=IwAR2DIcd8G4wVUhp5aqx7YClQK7VN1_qEU-ebdzZFjZCW5N1liHr11btwRFI Effects of Non-Clinical Interventions (including social distancing and isolation and containment):https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.03.03.20029843v2?fbclid=IwAR03lh7ndUaCa6OkBoLO2ezKN_z1FV_C5MEVcQzrg-Pj9Ux6l5PBf0H_f6k

    The Arch Mission Foundation
    476 supporters